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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+1.74vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.47+9.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+0.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90-1.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.00+1.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05-2.04vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21-3.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.12-1.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.52+1.21vs Predicted
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11Bentley University0.02-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.66-0.45vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.43+0.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-10.44vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.11-4.58vs Predicted
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16Bentley University0.92-8.29vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Brown University3.230.3%1st Place
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12.94Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.000.0%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.63Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.91Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.02Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
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3.56Northeastern University2.840.2%1st Place
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10.42University of New Hampshire-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.71Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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9.35Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 29.8% | 24.0% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Kern | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 22.9% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 20.2% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole O'Brien | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Moseley Andrews | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 16.9% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Peabody | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.