← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.38+2.04vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.44+0.95vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy-0.23+0.99vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology-1.03+1.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.76+0.03vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-0.34-1.84vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-1.69-0.45vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University-0.66-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04University of South Florida0.3824.8%1st Place
-
2.95Jacksonville University0.4425.8%1st Place
-
3.99U. S. Naval Academy-0.2314.0%1st Place
-
5.5Florida Institute of Technology-1.035.3%1st Place
-
5.03University of Miami-0.767.3%1st Place
-
4.16Florida State University-0.3411.8%1st Place
-
6.55Rollins College-1.692.5%1st Place
-
4.78Jacksonville University-0.668.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Newland | 24.8% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Josh Becker | 25.8% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Colin Caraher | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Mary MacDonald | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 18.4% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 13.5% |
| Michael Kaufman | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Henry Campbell | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 47.9% |
| Sara Flowerday | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.