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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.38+1.95vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-0.66+2.80vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.76+0.95vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-0.34-0.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy-0.23-1.89vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-1.69-0.44vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-1.03-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of South Florida0.3825.1%1st Place
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4.8Jacksonville University-0.669.1%1st Place
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2.9Jacksonville University0.4426.5%1st Place
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4.95University of Miami-0.767.8%1st Place
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4.25Florida State University-0.3410.2%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy-0.2313.2%1st Place
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6.56Rollins College-1.692.5%1st Place
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5.48Florida Institute of Technology-1.035.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Newland | 25.1% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sara Flowerday | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 9.2% |
| Josh Becker | 26.5% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Michael Kaufman | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Colin Caraher | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Henry Campbell | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 48.6% |
| Mary MacDonald | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.