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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.51vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+11.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+7.27vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+5.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.79vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.99vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95+0.61vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-0.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.25vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.54vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.70-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.48vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-6.29vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.65-5.07vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-7.79vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.85vs Predicted
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18Fordham University4.26-10.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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13.34Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.99Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.54SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.52University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.93College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.22Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tony Collins | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 23.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Michael Grove | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| Olin Paine | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.