← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.44+1.93vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy-0.23+2.05vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.38+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University-0.66+0.99vs Predicted
-
5Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+0.04vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-0.34-1.71vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-1.69-0.40vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.76-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93Jacksonville University0.4425.6%1st Place
-
4.05U. S. Naval Academy-0.2312.2%1st Place
-
3.05University of South Florida0.3823.9%1st Place
-
4.99Jacksonville University-0.667.1%1st Place
-
5.04Florida Institute of Technology-0.728.9%1st Place
-
4.29Florida State University-0.3412.0%1st Place
-
6.6Rollins College-1.692.5%1st Place
-
5.06University of Miami-0.767.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Becker | 25.6% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Colin Caraher | 12.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
Robert Newland | 23.9% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
Sara Flowerday | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% |
Anthon Funderburk | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 12.3% |
Michael Kaufman | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
Henry Campbell | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 50.9% |
Julianna Skoglund | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.