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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+6.22vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+8.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+5.48vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.25vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.92vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+4.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.75vs Predicted
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8Fordham University4.26-0.64vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.50vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-0.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-3.49vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.89-0.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.97vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-5.99vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.91vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.0College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.36Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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12.5SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.87Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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11.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| Graham Landy | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Olin Paine | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Nick Valente | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.8% |
| William Macdonald | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Tony Collins | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 22.2% |
| Michael Grove | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.7% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| David Alfonso | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.