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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+9.52vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.86vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+3.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.89vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70+1.62vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-3.00vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.73vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-1.25vs Predicted
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15Fordham University4.26-7.72vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.65-5.98vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.55-10.65vs Predicted
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18Boston College4.12-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.86Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.27SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.75Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.28Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IG Schottlaender | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Michael Grove | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| William Macdonald | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% |
| Tony Collins | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 21.2% |
| Olin Paine | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.