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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University-0.34+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.38+1.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+0.17vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.66+1.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy-0.23-0.53vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.49-1.13vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.76-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Florida State University-0.3410.5%1st Place
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3.14University of South Florida0.3822.9%1st Place
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3.17Jacksonville University0.4423.4%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University-0.668.3%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Naval Academy-0.2311.5%1st Place
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4.87Rollins College-0.499.1%1st Place
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5.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.727.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Miami-0.767.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kaufman | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Robert Newland | 22.9% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Josh Becker | 23.4% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Sara Flowerday | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 20.1% |
| Colin Caraher | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% |
| Connor Teague | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 13.2% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.