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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+5.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+5.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.81vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+2.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.43vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89+6.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.85vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-0.89vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.20vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.70-1.12vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.34vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.53vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.55-3.98vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-6.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.10vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-8.74vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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7.34Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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12.43SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.04Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Olin Paine | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.8% |
| Tony Collins | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 21.4% |
| David Alfonso | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Michael Grove | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.