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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.38+2.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.44+1.12vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.66+2.22vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.34+0.57vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+0.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy-0.23-1.61vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.76-1.61vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.49-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of South Florida0.3819.9%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University0.4423.4%1st Place
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5.22Jacksonville University-0.667.8%1st Place
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4.57Florida State University-0.3411.3%1st Place
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5.18Florida Institute of Technology-0.727.4%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy-0.2312.3%1st Place
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5.39University of Miami-0.767.8%1st Place
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4.79Rollins College-0.4910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Newland | 19.9% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Josh Becker | 23.4% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Sara Flowerday | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| Michael Kaufman | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| Colin Caraher | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 23.4% |
| Connor Teague | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.