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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.79+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.76+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria2.65-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55+0.59vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20-3.29vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound1.26-2.53vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.21-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Victoria2.650.2%1st Place
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6.59University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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3.71Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Berry | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Fuller | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 8.4% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 8.7% |
| Neil Hawkes | 24.6% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| John Elam | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 49.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 15.7% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Mike Knape | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 20.4% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.9% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.