Race 5B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Wittick 39.6% 30.2% 18.4% 8.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Salzberg 29.3% 29.2% 22.3% 12.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin Ryan 16.2% 20.9% 25.9% 18.6% 11.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Cooper Bennett 2.2% 2.5% 4.7% 8.5% 11.5% 14.8% 15.2% 15.6% 14.0% 11.1%
Matthew McCarvill 4.1% 6.3% 8.9% 16.0% 18.5% 16.6% 12.2% 8.8% 6.3% 2.1%
Charlotte Shaw 2.0% 2.9% 4.9% 9.7% 13.2% 15.7% 16.5% 14.6% 11.8% 8.6%
George Wood 2.0% 2.5% 4.3% 7.3% 11.8% 13.6% 13.1% 15.4% 16.1% 13.9%
Joseph Arrigo 1.2% 1.6% 3.5% 6.7% 8.0% 10.2% 12.4% 14.4% 16.6% 25.3%
Tyler Needham 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 6.8% 9.8% 12.0% 13.8% 14.5% 17.5% 17.5%
John Morgan Griffith 1.2% 1.8% 3.1% 6.0% 7.7% 10.8% 14.4% 15.9% 17.5% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.