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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.67vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.65+6.85vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+3.24vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-1.51vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-1.97vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.43+2.10vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-0.31vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-0.10vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.88vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.14vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.32-0.96vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.79-1.84vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.27-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Pennsylvania1.7715.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy2.049.6%1st Place
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9.85Christopher Newport University0.652.6%1st Place
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7.24Old Dominion University0.976.0%1st Place
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3.49Cornell University2.3824.0%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University2.2017.1%1st Place
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9.1Columbia University0.432.5%1st Place
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7.69George Washington University0.934.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University0.713.2%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.2%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.4%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.0%1st Place
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12.04Princeton University-0.321.1%1st Place
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12.16Washington College-0.791.2%1st Place
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10.66SUNY Maritime College-0.271.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 24.0% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.1% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 30.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 31.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.