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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+1.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.08+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.57+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.88+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.31vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.39-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.22-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.70-2.46vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-3.09-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Stanford University2.6136.8%1st Place
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3.68Stanford University2.0816.3%1st Place
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7.44University of Hawaii0.574.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Hawaii0.997.5%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island0.887.2%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.2%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.4%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Berkeley0.734.2%1st Place
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7.39University of Washington-1.393.8%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.6%1st Place
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7.57University of California at San Diego0.222.7%1st Place
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9.54University of California at San Diego-0.702.0%1st Place
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12.54California Poly Maritime Academy-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 36.8% | 27.9% | 16.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 16.3% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Althea White | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 43.2% | 13.5% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 24.3% | 22.1% | 4.2% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 11.7% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.