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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.43vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+8.16vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+7.87vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.19vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.89+7.85vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.99vs Predicted
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8Fordham University4.26-0.71vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+0.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.12vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-3.97vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.70-1.89vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-5.25vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-8.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-6.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.05vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-8.75vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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10.87University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.19SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.85Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.29Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.16Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Nick Valente | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.1% |
| Tony Collins | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 22.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% |
| Olin Paine | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Raul Rios | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Graham Landy | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| David Alfonso | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.