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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+6.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+2.18vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.58vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.43vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.70-0.14vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-4.06vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.63vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.89-0.25vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.49vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-5.27vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.78-6.77vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.07vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.21-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.43University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.63SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.75Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| William Macdonald | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Graham Landy | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Olin Paine | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Michael Grove | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 19.2% |
| Tony Collins | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 19.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.