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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+1.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.08+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.57+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.22+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.39-0.50vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99-4.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.70-2.47vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-3.09-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Stanford University2.6140.5%1st Place
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3.7Stanford University2.0816.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island0.886.3%1st Place
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7.38University of Hawaii0.573.2%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Berkeley0.734.3%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego0.222.9%1st Place
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7.5University of Washington-1.393.5%1st Place
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.9%1st Place
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5.46University of Hawaii0.997.2%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.2%1st Place
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9.53University of California at San Diego-0.701.8%1st Place
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12.54California Poly Maritime Academy-3.090.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 40.5% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 16.0% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Althea White | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 46.4% | 12.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 25.0% | 22.1% | 4.5% |
| madeline rivera | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.