← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.12+6.95vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University4.26+5.31vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.88vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.01vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.55+1.00vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.65+3.70vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University4.36-0.26vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College4.05-0.12vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.21+2.58vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.89+3.09vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.95-2.43vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.70-2.12vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.49-2.74vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.66vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.82vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.55-5.79vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-7.17vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.95Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
7.31Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
6.0Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.7College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.74Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.88Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
11.58Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
13.09Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.57Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.88Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
-
10.26University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
12.18SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.21Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
-
9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
-
11.6University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Olin Paine | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael Grove | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 22.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Nick Valente | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.