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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+1.30vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.08+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.57+1.28vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.88-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.22-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.07vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-3.09-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.6138.2%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University2.0817.8%1st Place
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5.5University of Hawaii0.998.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Los Angeles1.309.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington-1.393.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii0.573.3%1st Place
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7.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island0.887.3%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego0.223.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Berkeley0.735.1%1st Place
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9.44University of California at San Diego-0.701.1%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.5%1st Place
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12.46California Poly Maritime Academy-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 38.2% | 27.2% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 17.8% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 4.2% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 44.4% | 14.2% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 10.1% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.