← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.58vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+7.68vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.55+3.09vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.36+2.51vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.70+4.19vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.86vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College4.05+0.76vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.49+2.06vs Predicted
-
9Boston College4.12-1.57vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.89+2.82vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.23+0.40vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.65-2.13vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University4.26-6.17vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.21-2.96vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.51vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.47-5.64vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.76vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.58U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
-
6.09Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
6.51Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
9.19Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
7.76Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.06University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
12.82Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
11.4Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
9.87College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
6.83Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
11.04Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.36Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
-
11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
-
11.81SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Louis Padnos | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Graham Landy | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tony Collins | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.7% |
| Lea Bushnell | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| Olin Paine | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% |
| Connor Needham | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| David Larson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.