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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+1.30vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.08+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+3.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.22+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.99-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.88-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.57-1.62vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.14vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-3.09-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.6138.6%1st Place
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3.66Stanford University2.0816.7%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.3%1st Place
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7.4University of Washington-1.392.9%1st Place
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7.52University of California at San Diego0.223.5%1st Place
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5.54University of Hawaii0.997.4%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island0.887.8%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Berkeley0.734.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Hawaii0.573.1%1st Place
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7.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.0%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-0.701.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.5%1st Place
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12.53California Poly Maritime Academy-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 38.6% | 25.9% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 16.7% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 25.2% | 22.4% | 4.5% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 16.8% | 44.9% | 13.2% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 10.8% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.