← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+9.10vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.72vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.55+3.45vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.76vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.95+3.65vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.36+0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.49+3.65vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.27vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University4.26-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.70+0.08vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.09vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.89+1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.13vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University4.08-6.12vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.78-5.64vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College4.05-7.69vs Predicted
-
17Boston College4.12-8.87vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston3.65-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
-
12.72SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
6.45Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.76U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
8.65Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.94Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
10.65University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
7.41Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
10.08Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
13.46Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
7.88Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.36Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
8.31Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
8.13Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
9.85College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Padnos | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Nick Valente | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| Graham Landy | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Olin Paine | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Tony Collins | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 26.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.