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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+2.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.22+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.99-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.57-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.39-1.53vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.11vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-3.09-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Stanford University2.0817.8%1st Place
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2.33Stanford University2.6137.0%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Los Angeles1.309.7%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island0.887.6%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley0.734.8%1st Place
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7.57University of California at San Diego0.223.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Hawaii0.996.9%1st Place
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7.36University of Hawaii0.574.2%1st Place
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7.47University of Washington-1.393.0%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.7%1st Place
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9.49University of California at San Diego-0.701.4%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.5%1st Place
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12.53California Poly Maritime Academy-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 17.8% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 37.0% | 26.6% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Florence Duff | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 21.5% | 3.6% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 44.2% | 14.5% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 11.2% | 79.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.