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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+4.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+0.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.08+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.57+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.22+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.39-0.55vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.88-4.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.18vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-3.09-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of Hawaii0.998.2%1st Place
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2.34Stanford University2.6138.7%1st Place
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3.71Stanford University2.0816.4%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii0.573.4%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.4%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego0.222.8%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Berkeley0.734.3%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-1.393.7%1st Place
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7.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island0.886.6%1st Place
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9.55University of California at San Diego-0.701.0%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Santa Cruz-1.400.3%1st Place
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12.6California Poly Maritime Academy-3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 38.7% | 25.0% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 16.4% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Smith | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Florence Duff | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 23.5% | 4.0% |
| Althea White | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 46.2% | 11.8% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 10.2% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.