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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+7.89vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.95vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+5.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.03vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+2.36vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.36-1.05vs Predicted
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9Fordham University4.26-1.64vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-3.46vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.70-1.07vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.89+1.39vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-3.16vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.95vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.97vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-7.67vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-6.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.25SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.95Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.36Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.39Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Raul Rios | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
| Michael Grove | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| David Alfonso | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Olin Paine | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Tony Collins | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 25.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.