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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+4.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+2.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.64-1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.24+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-1.01vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.74-3.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91+0.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.94-2.11vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Stanford University2.0420.0%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.9%1st Place
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5.02University of Hawaii1.098.5%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.6438.9%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii1.057.3%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Los Angeles0.243.4%1st Place
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5.99University of Washington0.745.4%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.8%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Berkeley0.746.5%1st Place
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8.69University of California at San Diego-0.422.1%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.5%1st Place
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9.89University of California at San Diego-0.940.6%1st Place
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11.53California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 20.0% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Carew | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 38.9% | 24.0% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Lola Rao | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 25.9% | 38.1% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 11.6% |
| Julia Mast | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 25.4% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.