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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+8.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+7.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+6.48vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73+4.13vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+2.80vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.15+3.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+2.24vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+3.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.82vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-4.93vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-6.86vs Predicted
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153.24-4.80vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-8.51vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.11-6.03vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.8Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.23.240.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.09SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Michael Popp | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Scott Houck | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 10.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.