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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+1.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.24+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.18vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.94-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.66vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University2.6436.1%1st Place
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3.16Stanford University2.0421.3%1st Place
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5.06University of Hawaii1.098.3%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.8%1st Place
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5.06University of Hawaii1.059.4%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Berkeley0.746.2%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Los Angeles0.244.3%1st Place
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5.94University of Washington0.745.2%1st Place
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8.82University of California at San Diego-0.421.4%1st Place
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8.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.4%1st Place
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9.98University of California at San Diego-0.940.5%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.4%1st Place
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11.42California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 36.1% | 27.2% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 21.3% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 11.2% |
| Lola Rao | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 25.9% | 39.0% |
| Julia Mast | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 25.1% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.