← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University0.71+7.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.38+0.45vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University0.93+3.42vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.65+4.95vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.20-1.96vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.29vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.32+4.06vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University0.43+0.13vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.91vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College-0.27-0.32vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.75vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University0.97-5.85vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.14vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-0.79-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.8Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
-
4.36University of Pennsylvania1.7714.5%1st Place
-
3.45Cornell University2.3823.4%1st Place
-
7.42George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
-
9.95Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
-
4.04Georgetown University2.2017.8%1st Place
-
5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.049.0%1st Place
-
12.06Princeton University-0.321.0%1st Place
-
9.13Columbia University0.432.8%1st Place
-
8.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.5%1st Place
-
10.68SUNY Maritime College-0.271.9%1st Place
-
8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.0%1st Place
-
7.15Old Dominion University0.976.4%1st Place
-
8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.0%1st Place
-
12.04Washington College-0.790.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.4% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 31.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.