← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University4.52+4.81vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.00vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.85+1.82vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.76+4.04vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University3.92+2.55vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College3.63+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University4.78-2.14vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.50+0.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington2.81+2.18vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-5.06vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami3.69-3.38vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine2.83-2.02vs Predicted
-
14University of Notre Dame-0.25+3.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Minnesota0.20+1.58vs Predicted
-
16University of Saint Thomas1.26-0.97vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University2.14-3.81vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas2.50-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.81Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
7.0SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
4.82Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
-
8.04Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
-
7.55Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.62Eckerd College3.630.0%1st Place
-
4.86Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
8.89Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
-
11.18University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
-
4.94St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.2%1st Place
-
5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
8.62University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
-
17.02University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
-
16.58University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
-
15.03University of Saint Thomas1.260.0%1st Place
-
13.19Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.98University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meier | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 13.9% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 15.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John O'Brien | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 25.9% | 54.4% |
| Joe Lund | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 14.1% | 36.4% | 35.5% |
| Medora Sletten | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 31.5% | 23.0% | 8.3% |
| Chris Raff | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.