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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+1.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.22vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+1.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.42+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.94-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.75vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University2.6437.4%1st Place
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2.97Stanford University2.0424.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Hawaii1.0910.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii1.058.4%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Berkeley0.746.6%1st Place
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7.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.7%1st Place
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7.75University of California at San Diego-0.422.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Washington0.746.3%1st Place
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8.81University of California at San Diego-0.940.8%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.8%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.3%1st Place
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10.45California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 37.4% | 28.4% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 24.1% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 10.5% |
| tess McMullin | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 24.7% | 36.5% |
| Julia Mast | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 25.7% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.