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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+10.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+6.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+7.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.58vs Predicted
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53.24+5.20vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+4.35vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+1.21vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-0.64vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.28vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-3.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-4.93vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.49-5.12vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.51-5.95vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-3.81vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-9.40vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.4College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.23.240.0%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.77Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.05Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.19Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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15.08SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Alex Post | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.