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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+1.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+0.90vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.74-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.94+0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.91-0.72vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University2.6437.5%1st Place
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2.9Stanford University2.0424.0%1st Place
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7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.6%1st Place
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4.46University of Hawaii1.0910.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Berkeley0.747.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Washington0.745.9%1st Place
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4.58University of Hawaii1.058.8%1st Place
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8.96University of California at San Diego-0.940.9%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego-0.422.3%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.721.3%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Santa Cruz-1.910.4%1st Place
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10.31California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 37.5% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 24.0% | 23.8% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 10.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 3.6% |
| tess McMullin | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 4.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 23.8% | 37.6% |
| Julia Mast | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 22.3% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.