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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+7.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+6.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+7.74vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73+4.27vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+5.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.36vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.57vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51+1.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+3.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.63vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-3.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.36vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.49-4.97vs Predicted
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153.24-4.64vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.93vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.15-6.02vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.92-10.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.36Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.43Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.363.240.0%1st Place
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13.07SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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7.25Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.8% |
| Michael Popp | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 24.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.