← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.04+2.23vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+4.01vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.64-0.58vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.09+1.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.05+0.02vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.16vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.74-0.99vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.41vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.94-0.13vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94+0.18vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97+0.29vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.23Stanford University2.0421.3%1st Place
-
6.01University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.9%1st Place
-
2.42Stanford University2.6434.8%1st Place
-
5.0University of Hawaii1.099.3%1st Place
-
5.02University of Hawaii1.059.2%1st Place
-
5.84University of California at Berkeley0.745.5%1st Place
-
6.01University of Washington0.745.7%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Los Angeles0.244.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of California at San Diego-0.421.8%1st Place
-
9.87University of California at San Diego-0.940.5%1st Place
-
11.18California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.4%1st Place
-
12.29University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 21.3% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 34.8% | 26.0% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 5.9% |
| Julia Mast | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 40.9% | 22.4% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 17.3% | 68.5% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.