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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+8.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73+4.27vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+2.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.91vs Predicted
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73.24+3.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.23vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.00+1.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-2.50vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-3.26vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-0.84vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.32vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.49vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.23-5.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.44-7.22vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.91Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.513.240.0%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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11.76University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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12.68SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.57Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% |
| Paul Perry | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 21.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.