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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+1.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.42+3.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+0.09vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.24-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.94+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.74-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.74-5.07vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University2.6437.4%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University2.0420.4%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii1.099.3%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii1.058.5%1st Place
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8.61University of California at San Diego-0.421.7%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.7%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.471.8%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles0.243.2%1st Place
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9.86University of California at San Diego-0.941.0%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Berkeley0.746.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Washington0.745.7%1st Place
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11.23California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.4%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 37.4% | 25.3% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 20.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| harriet jessup | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 28.5% | 21.6% | 4.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Mast | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 16.4% | 41.0% | 22.1% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 17.3% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.