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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+1.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.74-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.42+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.24-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.05-4.91vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97+0.30vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Stanford University2.6437.2%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University2.0420.6%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.6%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii1.098.8%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley0.746.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Washington0.745.9%1st Place
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8.7University of California at San Diego-0.421.7%1st Place
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9.8University of California at San Diego-0.940.8%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles0.244.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii1.057.2%1st Place
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8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.1%1st Place
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11.06California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 37.2% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 20.6% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 25.9% | 19.9% | 6.3% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 70.3% |
| Julia Mast | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 41.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.