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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+8.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+5.61vs Predicted
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43.24+6.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+3.32vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.61vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.88vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.25vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-0.34vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-2.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.03vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-2.69vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-6.29vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.11-3.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.58vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.00-5.38vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.80-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.61College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.363.240.0%1st Place
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6.88Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.01Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Post | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 21.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Michael Popp | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Paul Perry | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.