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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+8.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+7.55vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+5.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+3.87vs Predicted
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53.24+5.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+3.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+1.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-1.15vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.04vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69+3.01vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-1.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.59vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.92-6.71vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.11-4.01vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.15-5.11vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.73-8.49vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-10.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.87Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.383.240.0%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.04SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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13.01Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Alex Post | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 21.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 21.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
| Michael Popp | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| William Bailey | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.