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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+1.36vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+2.20vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.94+2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.24-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.74-3.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.35vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-2.28vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Stanford University2.6436.8%1st Place
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3.18Stanford University2.0421.9%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii1.057.6%1st Place
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4.96University of Hawaii1.099.2%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.8%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Berkeley0.745.6%1st Place
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9.76University of California at San Diego-0.941.1%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles0.243.5%1st Place
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5.88University of Washington0.744.8%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego-0.421.5%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.472.2%1st Place
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11.17California Poly Maritime Academy-1.940.2%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 36.8% | 25.6% | 18.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 21.9% | 22.9% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 21.8% | 5.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 11.2% | 1.5% |
| Julia Mast | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 39.4% | 21.1% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 15.5% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.