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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.63+11.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+7.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.64vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+4.11vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.73+2.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51+1.06vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-2.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.77+2.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.39vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-1.33vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-5.32vs Predicted
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143.24-4.05vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.69-2.46vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.73vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.15-6.19vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.23-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.89SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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7.64Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.06Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.65Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.953.240.0%1st Place
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12.54Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.81University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Paxton | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 22.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Michael Popp | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.