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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.47+5.71vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+2.24vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University0.55+7.56vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+5.60vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02+3.56vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95-0.67vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.22+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-1.28vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.99-2.50vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41+0.89vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.63-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Florida1.04-2.88vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43-1.97vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.84-4.64vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.48-2.41vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.69-0.85vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-2.98vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Eckerd College1.479.3%1st Place
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4.24University of Miami2.3219.8%1st Place
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10.56Embry-Riddle University0.552.9%1st Place
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9.6Florida Institute of Technology0.733.9%1st Place
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8.56University of South Florida1.025.0%1st Place
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5.33Florida State University1.9513.8%1st Place
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7.74The Citadel1.225.9%1st Place
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6.72University of South Florida1.547.6%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University1.998.6%1st Place
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10.89Rollins College0.412.9%1st Place
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10.01University of South Carolina0.634.2%1st Place
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9.12University of Florida1.044.5%1st Place
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11.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.433.2%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University0.843.6%1st Place
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12.59Duke University0.481.5%1st Place
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15.15Auburn University-0.690.9%1st Place
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14.02Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.1%1st Place
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12.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Tallman | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Ian Street | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Smith | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 40.4% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 22.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.