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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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13.24+9.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+6.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15+5.57vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+6.28vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+2.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+2.25vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.31vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69+2.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-3.42vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.73-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.51-5.19vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.63vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.63-3.12vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.22vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.483.240.0%1st Place
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6.91Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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12.28Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.69Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.82Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 15.5% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 20.2% |
| Michael Popp | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 20.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.