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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+5.57vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.47+4.94vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.22+4.91vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43+5.94vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54+0.78vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.48+5.66vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.95-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Florida1.04-0.96vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+1.71vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.55-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.02-4.44vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.75vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-0.91vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.41-5.11vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.84-7.67vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-0.69-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57North Carolina State University1.9910.1%1st Place
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6.94Eckerd College1.478.2%1st Place
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7.91The Citadel1.225.9%1st Place
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4.08University of Miami2.3220.3%1st Place
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10.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.433.5%1st Place
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6.78University of South Florida1.548.4%1st Place
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12.66Duke University0.481.4%1st Place
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5.56Florida State University1.9510.6%1st Place
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10.02University of South Carolina0.634.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Florida1.044.3%1st Place
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12.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.2%1st Place
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10.45Embry-Riddle University0.553.6%1st Place
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8.56University of South Florida1.025.4%1st Place
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9.25Florida Institute of Technology0.734.3%1st Place
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14.09Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.4%1st Place
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10.89Rollins College0.412.8%1st Place
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9.33Jacksonville University0.843.9%1st Place
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15.23Auburn University-0.690.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.3% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Smith | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.