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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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13.24+9.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+7.35vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.43vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.73+3.03vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51+0.96vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.81vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80+2.29vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-0.62vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-5.06vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.51-4.18vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.59vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.77-2.83vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.15-5.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.73-8.77vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.333.240.0%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.29Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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12.41SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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12.17Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Scott Houck | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Michael Popp | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Alex Post | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.