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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.47+5.94vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43+6.87vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+1.45vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-0.45vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.04+0.04vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-0.69+5.26vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.45vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.95vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.02-4.42vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.48-1.37vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.41-4.09vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.55-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.63-6.85vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Eckerd College1.477.7%1st Place
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5.35Florida State University1.9513.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Miami2.3219.8%1st Place
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10.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.432.8%1st Place
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6.45North Carolina State University1.999.1%1st Place
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7.7The Citadel1.226.3%1st Place
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6.55University of South Florida1.548.0%1st Place
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9.46Jacksonville University0.844.3%1st Place
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9.04University of Florida1.044.3%1st Place
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15.26Auburn University-0.690.5%1st Place
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9.55Florida Institute of Technology0.733.9%1st Place
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12.95Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.8%1st Place
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8.58University of South Florida1.025.5%1st Place
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12.63Duke University0.481.8%1st Place
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10.91Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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10.46Embry-Riddle University0.553.4%1st Place
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10.15University of South Carolina0.633.1%1st Place
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13.95Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Tallman | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.8% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Smith | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Scott Harris | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 41.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.