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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+11.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+7.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.24vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+6.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.50vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+0.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+1.00vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.70vs Predicted
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103.24+0.38vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.73-2.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.35vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-5.86vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.15-4.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.95vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.11-6.11vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.25Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.59Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.383.240.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.66Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.89Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 19.0% |
| Alex Post | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 17.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Michael Popp | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.