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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+4.43vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+2.34vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.04+3.72vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+1.56vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99-0.64vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.47-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63+0.72vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.02-2.72vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-1.61vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.48-0.94vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-1.85vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.69-0.21vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-2.43vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University0.55-6.99vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Miami2.3220.4%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida1.549.7%1st Place
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5.34Florida State University1.9511.6%1st Place
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9.2Jacksonville University0.844.6%1st Place
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8.72University of Florida1.044.5%1st Place
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7.56The Citadel1.228.1%1st Place
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6.36North Carolina State University1.998.5%1st Place
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6.81Eckerd College1.477.0%1st Place
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9.72University of South Carolina0.633.6%1st Place
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9.18Florida Institute of Technology0.734.2%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida1.025.2%1st Place
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10.39Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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12.06Duke University0.481.8%1st Place
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12.15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.3%1st Place
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14.79Auburn University-0.690.5%1st Place
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13.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.2%1st Place
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10.01Embry-Riddle University0.553.1%1st Place
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16.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 20.4% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 25.8% | 22.2% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Drew Davey | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.