← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.20+3.16vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.33vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.67vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.38-0.48vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.05vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University0.97+1.07vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University0.71+1.80vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.87vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.98vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.65+0.07vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.43-2.13vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.93-4.34vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.17vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.32-1.96vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-0.79-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Georgetown University2.2015.4%1st Place
-
4.33University of Pennsylvania1.7715.7%1st Place
-
5.67U. S. Naval Academy2.049.6%1st Place
-
3.52Cornell University2.3822.2%1st Place
-
8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.5%1st Place
-
7.07Old Dominion University0.976.3%1st Place
-
8.8Fordham University0.714.0%1st Place
-
8.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.4%1st Place
-
8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.2%1st Place
-
10.07Christopher Newport University0.652.3%1st Place
-
8.87Columbia University0.433.0%1st Place
-
7.66George Washington University0.935.4%1st Place
-
10.83SUNY Maritime College-0.271.8%1st Place
-
12.04Princeton University-0.320.9%1st Place
-
12.05Washington College-0.791.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 15.4% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 22.2% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 30.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.