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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+9.86vs Predicted
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23.24+8.37vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.43vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+5.07vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.73+2.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+4.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.03vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69+2.63vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.15-0.36vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.51-2.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-5.89vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.51-5.36vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-6.06vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.08-9.33vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-7.21vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.77-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.86Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.373.240.0%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.52SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.63Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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9.31Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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11.94Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 19.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| William Bailey | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.