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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.18vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+4.36vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+6.08vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.47+2.66vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.95+0.38vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.04+1.87vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.48+4.18vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63+0.74vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.55-0.01vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.02-2.85vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.53vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-7.53vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.41-4.73vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.69-1.33vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.70vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Miami2.3218.6%1st Place
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6.36North Carolina State University1.998.5%1st Place
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9.08Jacksonville University0.844.5%1st Place
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6.66Eckerd College1.478.7%1st Place
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5.38Florida State University1.9511.8%1st Place
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7.47The Citadel1.228.6%1st Place
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8.87University of Florida1.045.1%1st Place
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12.18Duke University0.481.7%1st Place
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9.74University of South Carolina0.633.7%1st Place
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9.99Embry-Riddle University0.554.0%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida1.025.4%1st Place
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12.53Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.8%1st Place
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9.14Florida Institute of Technology0.734.5%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida1.548.0%1st Place
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10.27Rollins College0.413.5%1st Place
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14.67Auburn University-0.690.7%1st Place
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16.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
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13.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.460.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Ian Street | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Drew Davey | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 54.3% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.