← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.32+3.08vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.47+4.84vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.99+3.29vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.54+2.39vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.84+3.92vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.95-0.64vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University0.55+3.14vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel1.22-0.42vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.21vs Predicted
-
10Auburn University-0.69+4.65vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46+2.44vs Predicted
-
12Duke University0.48+0.17vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.02-4.86vs Predicted
-
14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-1.71vs Predicted
-
15University of South Carolina0.63-5.31vs Predicted
-
16Rollins College0.41-5.38vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.57vs Predicted
-
18University of Florida1.04-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08University of Miami2.3220.2%1st Place
-
6.84Eckerd College1.477.0%1st Place
-
6.29North Carolina State University1.998.2%1st Place
-
6.39University of South Florida1.548.4%1st Place
-
8.92Jacksonville University0.844.9%1st Place
-
5.36Florida State University1.9512.4%1st Place
-
10.14Embry-Riddle University0.553.2%1st Place
-
7.58The Citadel1.227.0%1st Place
-
9.21Florida Institute of Technology0.734.5%1st Place
-
14.65Auburn University-0.691.0%1st Place
-
13.44Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.4%1st Place
-
12.17Duke University0.482.2%1st Place
-
8.14University of South Florida1.025.9%1st Place
-
12.29Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.0%1st Place
-
9.69University of South Carolina0.633.8%1st Place
-
10.62Rollins College0.412.6%1st Place
-
16.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
-
8.77University of Florida1.045.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlee Kohl | 20.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sean Tallman | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Scott Harris | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Eden Nykamp | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Stefanos Pappas | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dylan Hardt | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Gregory Walters | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Brendan Smucker | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
Sara Boyd | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 25.5% | 20.0% |
Isabelle Pobanz | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 9.2% |
Carolina Cassedy | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
Jordan Byrd | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Cole Woerner | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
Ian Street | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
Drew Davey | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 56.9% |
Matthew Snyder | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.