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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+7.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+5.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.75vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+5.56vs Predicted
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63.24+4.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.20vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-0.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.77+3.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-1.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-1.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-3.02vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.51-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.15-4.51vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.27vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.63-4.23vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.76Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.75Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.153.240.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.14Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.49University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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12.77SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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12.29Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| William Bailey | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Alex Post | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 20.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.