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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+4.58vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.48+10.58vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+0.31vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.47+1.79vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22+1.88vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+3.83vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.63+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.04+0.03vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.64vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.69+4.31vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.54-5.40vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.84-3.63vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.02-5.41vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.55-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.43-4.95vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-2.95vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Florida State University1.9511.5%1st Place
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12.58Duke University0.482.4%1st Place
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6.48North Carolina State University1.999.8%1st Place
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4.31University of Miami2.3218.4%1st Place
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6.79Eckerd College1.478.4%1st Place
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7.88The Citadel1.226.8%1st Place
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10.83Rollins College0.412.9%1st Place
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10.01University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
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9.03University of Florida1.043.9%1st Place
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9.36Florida Institute of Technology0.734.5%1st Place
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15.31Auburn University-0.690.7%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
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9.37Jacksonville University0.844.8%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida1.024.3%1st Place
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10.45Embry-Riddle University0.553.0%1st Place
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11.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.432.9%1st Place
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14.05Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.1%1st Place
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12.75Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% |
| Scott Harris | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Snyder | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 40.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| William Smith | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 23.4% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.