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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+8.38vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.02vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.63+10.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.61vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+4.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.77vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.09vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-0.86vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11+1.19vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-0.46vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.73-3.40vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-5.76vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.00-2.98vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-6.84vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-3.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.44-7.41vs Predicted
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183.24-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.16SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.02University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.24Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.163.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 24.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Paul Perry | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% |
| Michael Popp | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.