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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.25vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+8.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+5.97vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.01+4.80vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.59+5.43vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44+5.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+7.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-2.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-1.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-4.34vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-2.42vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-4.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.00-6.11vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-9.95vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.01-4.22vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University0.38-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.43Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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14.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.58Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.78Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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16.52Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 27.0% | 18.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.