← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.99+4.82vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.97+2.99vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.54+3.06vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.40vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel1.22+1.91vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University0.55+3.31vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46+5.52vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida1.04+0.33vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+2.45vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College1.47-3.97vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami2.32-7.13vs Predicted
-
12Duke University0.48-0.79vs Predicted
-
13University of South Carolina0.63-3.89vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida0.38-3.93vs Predicted
-
15Rollins College0.41-5.38vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.71vs Predicted
-
17Auburn University-0.69-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82North Carolina State University1.9910.5%1st Place
-
4.99Jacksonville University1.9712.5%1st Place
-
6.06University of South Florida1.549.8%1st Place
-
8.4Florida Institute of Technology0.733.9%1st Place
-
6.91The Citadel1.227.3%1st Place
-
9.31Embry-Riddle University0.554.0%1st Place
-
12.52Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.1%1st Place
-
8.33University of Florida1.045.2%1st Place
-
11.45Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.1%1st Place
-
6.03Eckerd College1.479.6%1st Place
-
3.87University of Miami2.3221.2%1st Place
-
11.21Duke University0.482.2%1st Place
-
9.11University of South Carolina0.634.1%1st Place
-
10.07University of South Florida0.382.8%1st Place
-
9.62Rollins College0.412.6%1st Place
-
15.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.8%1st Place
-
14.02Auburn University-0.690.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 9.9% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 3.5% |
| Ian Street | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Newland | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Drew Davey | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 54.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.