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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+9.06vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+7.25vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+5.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+3.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+2.80vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+0.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.97vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo2.44+1.45vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.01-1.87vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-5.99vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-7.06vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-5.99vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.01-2.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.58-5.25vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.56vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University0.38-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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7.11George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.67Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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14.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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16.51Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 6.4% |
| Alexander Giordano | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 27.9% | 18.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.