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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+4.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+6.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.99vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+3.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.94vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+3.75vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-2.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo2.44-0.50vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.58-2.48vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-6.00vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.00-6.06vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.16vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.54vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University0.38-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.76Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.75Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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12.84Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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14.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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16.52Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Giordano | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 26.9% | 17.9% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 15.9% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.