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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.85vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+1.96vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.63+3.19vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.47-0.94vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.48+3.20vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+0.61vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+1.56vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46+1.58vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.22-4.85vs Predicted
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13University of Florida1.04-4.76vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.55-4.59vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.69-1.11vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.66vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.38-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85North Carolina State University1.9910.9%1st Place
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3.88University of Miami2.3220.8%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.9713.2%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida1.549.2%1st Place
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8.39Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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9.19University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
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6.06Eckerd College1.479.2%1st Place
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11.2Duke University0.481.9%1st Place
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9.61Rollins College0.413.4%1st Place
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11.56Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.9%1st Place
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12.58Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.9%1st Place
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7.15The Citadel1.226.6%1st Place
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8.24University of Florida1.044.5%1st Place
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9.41Embry-Riddle University0.552.9%1st Place
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13.89Auburn University-0.690.5%1st Place
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15.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.4%1st Place
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9.8University of South Florida0.384.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.8% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 24.4% | 22.6% |
| Drew Davey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 55.2% |
| Robert Newland | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.