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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+4.18vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+7.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+3.65vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+4.23vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+2.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93+1.79vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+1.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+3.56vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74-0.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.53vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-4.42vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.39-1.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.70-4.50vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.35-4.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-2.63vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo1.00-1.09vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-3.63vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University1.49-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.97Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.23George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.37Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.18Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Booker | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Charles Skord | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 36.9% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.