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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.35+9.32vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+4.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+9.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+2.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+0.48vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.70+1.71vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.74+0.38vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.79-0.72vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.39-1.00vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-1.96vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-8.10vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.49-0.96vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.93-7.31vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.32vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.28George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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13.04Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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13.36Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schofield | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Michael Booker | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| John Silvestri | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 15.4% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
| Gabriel Salk | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.