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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+2.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+3.54vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+5.29vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.30vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.55+3.90vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46+6.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.02+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.04+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-4.12vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.22-4.14vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-0.69+1.55vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.48-1.98vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.41-4.52vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.47-8.98vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Miami2.3222.4%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University1.9911.5%1st Place
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8.29Jacksonville University0.845.1%1st Place
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8.3Florida Institute of Technology0.734.4%1st Place
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8.9Embry-Riddle University0.554.3%1st Place
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12.38Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.1%1st Place
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7.64University of South Florida1.026.5%1st Place
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8.13University of Florida1.045.5%1st Place
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9.06University of South Carolina0.633.2%1st Place
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5.88University of South Florida1.5410.0%1st Place
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6.86The Citadel1.226.9%1st Place
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13.55Auburn University-0.690.7%1st Place
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11.02Duke University0.481.8%1st Place
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9.48Rollins College0.414.1%1st Place
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6.02Eckerd College1.4710.4%1st Place
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11.21Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 22.4% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 21.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Ian Street | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 41.3% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Sean Tallman | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.