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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University0.55+7.99vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+6.37vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+0.58vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+5.56vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+3.26vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.48+5.00vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99-1.27vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22-1.20vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.47-2.84vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-4.15vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Florida1.04-3.94vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.63-4.23vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.02-6.39vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.69-1.37vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.46-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Embry-Riddle University0.554.7%1st Place
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8.37Florida Institute of Technology0.734.7%1st Place
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3.58University of Miami2.3222.4%1st Place
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9.56Rollins College0.413.4%1st Place
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8.26Jacksonville University0.844.6%1st Place
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11.0Duke University0.482.5%1st Place
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5.73North Carolina State University1.9910.5%1st Place
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6.8The Citadel1.228.0%1st Place
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6.16Eckerd College1.478.8%1st Place
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5.85University of South Florida1.5410.2%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.2%1st Place
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8.06University of Florida1.045.9%1st Place
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8.77University of South Carolina0.634.0%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida1.025.9%1st Place
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13.63Auburn University-0.690.7%1st Place
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12.39Georgia Institute of Technology-0.461.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Hardt | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.4% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Scott Harris | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Ian Street | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 43.6% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.