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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+5.60vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+2.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+1.32vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.79+2.16vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.74+1.37vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.35+1.86vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-1.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+1.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.70-2.30vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52+1.40vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-3.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-4.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-6.16vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.49-3.63vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.86Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.4Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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13.37Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 19.8% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| John Silvestri | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.