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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.63+7.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+2.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+1.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.85+0.60vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.50+3.75vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76+2.04vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.52-1.37vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.37vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.69-0.79vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-3.41vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.81-0.71vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.14-0.25vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota0.20+2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Texas2.50-3.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.17-3.06vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.06vs Predicted
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18University of Saint Thomas1.26-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Eckerd College3.630.0%1st Place
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4.96Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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4.85St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University4.850.2%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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6.98SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.59Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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12.75Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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16.46University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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17.06University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Saint Thomas1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meier | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Chris Raff | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Joe Lund | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 35.7% | 33.5% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| John O'Brien | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 24.4% | 58.8% |
| Medora Sletten | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 29.4% | 21.0% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.