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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+4.50vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.34+7.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+3.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.01vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.35+3.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27-0.67vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+3.39vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia2.39+0.79vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74-1.42vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-2.89vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-2.10vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.79-4.97vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.70-5.82vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.52-1.92vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-3.60vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.49-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.98Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.08Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.36Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| John Silvestri | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.