← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami1.93+2.88vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.19+3.69vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University0.91+5.65vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University1.62+0.50vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College0.90+1.46vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina1.18-0.45vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+3.34vs Predicted
-
8Duke University0.06+1.44vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College0.10-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.88vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University0.48-2.90vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-1.62vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-3.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida-1.84-1.96vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College-0.17-4.67vs Predicted
-
16Auburn University-1.16-2.47vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.69vs Predicted
-
18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.88University of Miami1.9319.7%1st Place
-
5.69University of South Florida1.199.8%1st Place
-
8.65North Carolina State University0.914.2%1st Place
-
4.5Florida State University1.6216.4%1st Place
-
6.46Eckerd College0.908.3%1st Place
-
5.55University of South Carolina1.1811.3%1st Place
-
10.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.1%1st Place
-
9.44Duke University0.063.6%1st Place
-
8.87Rollins College0.104.1%1st Place
-
10.88Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.1%1st Place
-
8.1Jacksonville University0.485.9%1st Place
-
10.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.1%1st Place
-
9.04Georgia Institute of Technology0.174.5%1st Place
-
12.04University of Florida-1.841.8%1st Place
-
10.33Eckerd College-0.172.8%1st Place
-
13.53Auburn University-1.161.1%1st Place
-
16.31Embry-Riddle University-2.560.4%1st Place
-
17.0Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 19.7% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Joe Seiffert | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 25.4% | 14.8% | 3.1% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 39.6% | 34.9% |
| Jared Williams | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 23.1% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.