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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.91+7.67vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+1.80vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+1.58vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+5.32vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+5.32vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+3.27vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.90-0.49vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.19-3.23vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.18-4.35vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-1.43vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-2.56+3.40vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-5.87vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-1.84-3.01vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.90vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.16-3.49vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67North Carolina State University0.913.8%1st Place
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3.8University of Miami1.9320.0%1st Place
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4.58Florida State University1.6216.1%1st Place
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9.32Duke University0.064.1%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College-0.173.0%1st Place
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9.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.174.2%1st Place
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6.51Eckerd College0.909.4%1st Place
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8.65Rollins College0.104.1%1st Place
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5.77University of South Florida1.199.6%1st Place
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5.65University of South Carolina1.1810.3%1st Place
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10.77Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.7%1st Place
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10.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.2%1st Place
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16.4Embry-Riddle University-2.560.1%1st Place
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8.13Jacksonville University0.485.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Florida-1.841.5%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.5%1st Place
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13.51Auburn University-1.161.0%1st Place
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16.98Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 20.0% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 38.8% | 33.8% |
| Joe Seiffert | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 24.4% | 15.2% | 3.9% |
| Jared Williams | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 24.2% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.