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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College-0.17+9.46vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+1.70vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.91+5.80vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.62+0.54vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.10+3.68vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+3.15vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.90-0.44vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+1.37vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.90vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.19-5.22vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84+0.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.18-8.44vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-2.56+1.32vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-6.57vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.16-3.55vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46Eckerd College-0.172.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Miami1.9321.6%1st Place
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8.8North Carolina State University0.913.9%1st Place
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4.54Florida State University1.6215.8%1st Place
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8.68Rollins College0.104.7%1st Place
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9.15Georgia Institute of Technology0.173.2%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College0.908.2%1st Place
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8.11Jacksonville University0.484.8%1st Place
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10.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.4%1st Place
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10.9Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.8%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.199.7%1st Place
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12.02University of Florida-1.842.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.8%1st Place
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5.56University of South Carolina1.1811.5%1st Place
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16.32Embry-Riddle University-2.560.2%1st Place
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9.43Duke University0.063.1%1st Place
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13.45Auburn University-1.161.1%1st Place
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16.95Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lily Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Aidan Dennis | 21.6% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hogan O'Donnell | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Joey Meagher | 15.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Carly Orhan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Theodore Goldenberg | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Griffin Richardson | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Joe Seiffert | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
Humberto Porrata | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Marco Distel | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
Lewis Bragg | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
David Manley | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sergio Carli | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 38.6% | 35.4% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Joaquin Marquez | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 4.8% |
Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 25.1% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.