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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+3.50vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+1.85vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06+4.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+3.83vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.91+1.60vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48-0.27vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.90-2.78vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.10-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84+0.65vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-1.99vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-2.56+3.05vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.16-0.89vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-4.36vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-7.13vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-2.55vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Miami1.9321.2%1st Place
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5.5University of South Carolina1.1810.3%1st Place
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4.3Florida State University1.6217.5%1st Place
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5.85University of South Florida1.199.8%1st Place
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9.15Duke University0.063.5%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.6%1st Place
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8.6North Carolina State University0.914.3%1st Place
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7.73Jacksonville University0.485.5%1st Place
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6.22Eckerd College0.908.5%1st Place
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8.59Rollins College0.104.2%1st Place
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11.65University of Florida-1.841.5%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College-0.172.6%1st Place
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16.05Embry-Riddle University-2.560.4%1st Place
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13.11Auburn University-1.161.1%1st Place
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10.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.3%1st Place
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8.87Georgia Institute of Technology0.173.7%1st Place
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14.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.8%1st Place
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16.76Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 21.2% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 32.9% | 32.5% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 2.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 24.3% | 21.9% | 8.9% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 22.9% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.