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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75+1.17vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.39+0.57vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.89+0.12vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.70-0.63vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.34-1.23vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.70-2.63vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.34-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.4%1st Place
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2.57Tulane University1.390.3%1st Place
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3.12Tulane University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.37Texas A&M University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.77Texas A&M University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.37Texas A&M University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.77Texas A&M University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sager | 38.6% | 26.7% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 25.3% | 26.4% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 15.9% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 25.3% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 11.7% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis James | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 41.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 11.7% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis James | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 41.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.