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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.91+7.68vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18+1.41vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+1.44vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48+1.96vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.10+1.58vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19-2.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.74vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-1.02vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.67vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-4.13vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06+2.80vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-1.84-3.38vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-1.16-2.95vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.94vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68North Carolina State University0.914.2%1st Place
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4.34Florida State University1.6215.8%1st Place
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3.59University of Miami1.9321.8%1st Place
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5.41University of South Carolina1.1811.1%1st Place
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6.44Eckerd College0.907.4%1st Place
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7.96Jacksonville University0.484.9%1st Place
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8.58Rollins College0.104.8%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida1.1911.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.9%1st Place
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9.44Duke University0.063.4%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College-0.173.0%1st Place
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10.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.9%1st Place
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8.87Georgia Institute of Technology0.173.5%1st Place
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16.8Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Florida-1.841.6%1st Place
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13.05Auburn University-1.161.0%1st Place
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16.06Embry-Riddle University-2.560.2%1st Place
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14.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.8% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 8.6% | 21.9% | 56.3% |
| Marco Distel | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 2.7% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 34.8% | 30.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.