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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.10+7.70vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93-0.33vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.91+3.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+4.20vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18-1.43vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48+0.01vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-0.03vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+0.23vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84-0.27vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.90-6.46vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.06-4.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.19vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.48-0.01vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-0.24vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Rollins College0.104.3%1st Place
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4.43Florida State University1.6215.6%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.1910.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Miami1.9322.4%1st Place
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8.64North Carolina State University0.914.7%1st Place
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10.2Eckerd College-0.172.4%1st Place
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5.57University of South Carolina1.1811.1%1st Place
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8.01Jacksonville University0.485.2%1st Place
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8.97Georgia Institute of Technology0.173.9%1st Place
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10.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.4%1st Place
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10.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.9%1st Place
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11.73University of Florida-1.842.0%1st Place
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6.54Eckerd College0.907.5%1st Place
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9.24Duke University0.063.3%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.8%1st Place
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15.99Auburn University-2.480.2%1st Place
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16.76Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
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16.02Embry-Riddle University-2.560.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Orhan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.4% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| David Manley | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marco Distel | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 24.2% | 33.1% | 23.0% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 14.2% | 23.9% | 50.3% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 22.6% | 33.0% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.