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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.62+3.36vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.75vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.91+4.73vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06+4.35vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.10+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18-1.48vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93-6.35vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84+0.81vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-1.78vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.21vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-6.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.23vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.48-0.07vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.90vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Florida State University1.6216.4%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College0.906.6%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida1.1910.9%1st Place
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8.73North Carolina State University0.914.2%1st Place
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9.35Duke University0.063.3%1st Place
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8.62Rollins College0.104.3%1st Place
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5.52University of South Carolina1.1810.6%1st Place
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8.92Georgia Institute of Technology0.174.0%1st Place
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10.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.9%1st Place
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3.65University of Miami1.9321.5%1st Place
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11.81University of Florida-1.841.6%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College-0.172.5%1st Place
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10.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.4%1st Place
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7.87Jacksonville University0.485.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.2%1st Place
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15.93Auburn University-2.480.3%1st Place
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16.1Embry-Riddle University-2.560.1%1st Place
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16.76Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 16.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 23.7% | 32.2% | 23.5% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 22.0% | 33.4% | 25.9% |
| Jared Williams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.