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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+8.40vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+3.61vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.10+5.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93-1.24vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62-2.54vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17+2.08vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.91-0.34vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-0.68vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-4.13vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-3.99vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-1.84-3.23vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06+0.69vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.98vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.48-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Duke University0.062.9%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida1.1910.5%1st Place
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8.58Rollins College0.103.7%1st Place
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5.57University of South Carolina1.1811.3%1st Place
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3.76University of Miami1.9322.4%1st Place
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6.58Eckerd College0.907.2%1st Place
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4.46Florida State University1.6214.8%1st Place
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10.08Eckerd College-0.173.2%1st Place
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8.66North Carolina State University0.914.0%1st Place
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8.98Georgia Institute of Technology0.174.2%1st Place
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10.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.7%1st Place
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7.87Jacksonville University0.485.3%1st Place
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10.75Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.6%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.3%1st Place
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11.77University of Florida-1.841.2%1st Place
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16.69Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
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16.02Embry-Riddle University-2.560.1%1st Place
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15.9Auburn University-2.480.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.4% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 12.8% | 26.1% | 47.9% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 22.1% | 32.1% | 25.7% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 22.8% | 30.6% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.