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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.48vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.91+6.01vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18+1.16vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-2.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.13vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+0.18vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+3.47vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84-0.10vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-3.46vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-3.19vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.16-1.70vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College-0.17-5.50vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.86vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Jacksonville University-1.3813.9%1st Place
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8.01North Carolina State University0.914.6%1st Place
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5.93Eckerd College0.909.8%1st Place
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5.16University of South Carolina1.1811.9%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.1910.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Miami1.9322.9%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.3%1st Place
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8.18Georgia Institute of Technology0.174.5%1st Place
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7.9Rollins College0.104.5%1st Place
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13.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Florida-1.841.7%1st Place
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8.54Duke University0.064.5%1st Place
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9.81Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.9%1st Place
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12.3Auburn University-1.161.1%1st Place
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9.5Eckerd College-0.172.7%1st Place
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15.14Embry-Riddle University-2.560.4%1st Place
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15.84Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 13.9% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.9% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 8.6% |
| Marco Distel | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 10.9% | 2.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 32.8% | 31.6% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 22.7% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.