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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+1.51vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+1.18vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18+0.16vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.91+1.94vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+1.17vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+5.63vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10-1.10vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84-0.27vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-2.51vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-1.16-0.68vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-4.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.81vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.96vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Jacksonville University-1.3814.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Miami1.9322.8%1st Place
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5.91Eckerd College0.908.2%1st Place
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5.18University of South Florida1.1910.2%1st Place
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5.16University of South Carolina1.1812.2%1st Place
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7.94North Carolina State University0.915.3%1st Place
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8.17Georgia Institute of Technology0.174.6%1st Place
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13.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.8%1st Place
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7.9Rollins College0.104.6%1st Place
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8.7Duke University0.063.4%1st Place
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10.73University of Florida-1.842.5%1st Place
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9.49Eckerd College-0.172.9%1st Place
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12.32Auburn University-1.161.1%1st Place
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9.77Florida Institute of Technology-0.293.3%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.4%1st Place
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15.04Embry-Riddle University-2.560.4%1st Place
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15.89Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.8% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 25.1% | 22.2% | 8.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 31.9% | 31.6% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 9.2% | 23.1% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.