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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+1.50vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.91+5.01vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.25vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+6.61vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.18-2.89vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.06-0.54vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-1.16+2.21vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84-1.09vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-3.20vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.10-6.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.83vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-0.24vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Jacksonville University-1.3814.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Miami1.9322.9%1st Place
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8.01North Carolina State University0.914.3%1st Place
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5.91Eckerd College0.908.7%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida1.1911.3%1st Place
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8.33Georgia Institute of Technology0.173.5%1st Place
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13.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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5.11University of South Carolina1.1813.1%1st Place
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8.46Duke University0.063.5%1st Place
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12.21Auburn University-1.161.6%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College-0.173.2%1st Place
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10.91University of Florida-1.841.7%1st Place
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9.8Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.2%1st Place
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7.79Rollins College0.105.2%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.8%1st Place
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15.76Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
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15.18Embry-Riddle University-2.560.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.9% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 23.5% | 22.1% | 9.4% |
| David Manley | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Marco Distel | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 22.9% | 53.6% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 32.4% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.